“CIOs and technology leaders should always be scanning the market along with assessing and piloting emerging technologies to identify new business opportunities with high impact potential and strategic relevance for their business,” says Gartner research vice president Mike J. Walker.
In Gartner’s latest Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies, Walker reports on these must-watch technologies, listing five that will “blur the lines” between human and machine.
They will profoundly create new experiences, with unrivaled intelligence, and offer platforms that allow organisations to connect with new business ecosystems, he states.
The report says the trends exposed by the following emerging technologies are poised to be the next most important priorities of executive teams:
AI technologies will be virtually everywhere over the next 10 years, reports Gartner.
While these technologies enable early adopters to adapt to new situations and solve problems that have not been encountered previously, these technologies will become available to the masses — democratised. Movements and trends like cloud computing, the “maker” community and open source will eventually propel AI into everyone’s hands.
This trend is enabled by the following technologies: AI Platform as a Service (PaaS), Artificial General Intelligence, Autonomous Driving (Levels 4 and 5), Autonomous Mobile Robots, Conversational AI Platform, Deep Neural Nets, Flying Autonomous Vehicles, Smart Robots, and Virtual Assistants.
“Technologies representing democratised AI populate three out of five sections on the Hype Cycle, and some of them, such as deep neural nets and virtual assistants, will reach mainstream adoption in the next two to five years,” says Walker. “Other emerging technologies of that category, such as smart robots or AI PaaS, are also moving rapidly through the Hype Cycle approaching the peak and will soon have crossed it.”
Gartner says emerging technologies require revolutionising the enabling foundations that provide the volume of data needed, advanced compute power and ubiquity-enabling ecosystems. The shift from compartmentalised technical infrastructure to ecosystem-enabling platforms is laying the foundations for entirely new business models that are forming the bridge between humans and technology.
“Digitalised ecosystem technologies are making their way to the Hype Cycle fast,” says Walker. “Blockchain and IoT platforms have crossed the peak by now, and we believe that they will reach maturity in the next five to 10 years, with digital twins and knowledge graphs on their heels.”
Over the next decade, humanity will begin its “transhuman” era, reports Gartner.
Biology can then be hacked, depending on lifestyle, interests and health needs.
It says biohacking falls into four categories: technology augmentation, nutrigenomics, experimental biology and grinder biohacking. However, questions remain about how far society is prepared to accept these kinds of applications and what ethical issues they create.
Emerging technologies in do-it-yourself biohacking are moving rapidly through the Hype Cycle. Mixed reality is making its way to the Trough of Disillusionment, and augmented reality almost reached the bottom. Those pioneers will be followed by biochips, which have just reached the peak and will have moved on to the plateau in five to 10 years.
Transparently immersive experiences
Technology will continue to become more human-centric to the point where it will introduce transparency between people, businesses and things, says Gartner.
These technologies extend and enable smarter living, work, and other spaces that people encounter.
“Emerging technologies representing transparently immersive experiences are mostly on their way to the peak or — in the case of silicon anode batteries — just crossed it,” says Walker. “The smart workspace has moved along quite a bit and is about to peak in the near future.”
Infrastructure is no longer in the way of obtaining an organisation’s goals. The advent and mass popularity of cloud computing and its many variations have enabled an always-on, available and limitless infrastructure compute environment, reports Gartner.
Technologies supporting ubiquitous infrastructure are on track to reach the peak and move fast along the Hype Cycle. 5G and deep neural network ASICs, in particular, are expected to reach the plateau in the next two to five years.
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