Investment decisions in enterprise software, especially for core business applications and infrastructure, create dependencies on products and vendors that last for decades. To maximize return on these investments, CIOs must look at least 10 years ahead. Using a scenario-based planning approach, Forrester has three visions of how software will look - each illustrated by a poker analogy.
In the Three Kings scenario, a handful of very large software vendors dominate the market, burying most other large or midsize software vendors. We forecast that Oracle and IBM will merge. Oracle's application portfolio and database management systems turn out to be perfect complements to IBM's middleware.
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